The full run lists, 568 units across 3 sales on two days. Every ceiling is the resale value of the car net of the Copart fee, tow, a $500 profit target and the auction's own buyer fee. That resale value is a real Copart sale of the same car where one exists, and the book value where it does not. On the Manheim lanes book is MMR. ADESA does not publish MMR, so book there is its retail number cut by 22% as a wholesale estimate, which is why the Copart comp matters more on that sale.
Every unit has to clear three gates before it gets a number: it has to grade CR 2.0 or better, it has to have an anchor (a Copart sale of the same car, or a book value), and the ceiling has to be worth the trip. Condition is what kills most of this run.
Max bid = anchor − Copart fee − tow − $500 profit − auction buyer fee. These are cheap cars, so the bands are drawn where the decision actually changes: under $1,000 a unit is only worth taking in a batch. Tier ranks how much the anchor behind the number is worth trusting.
What the ceiling is worth
Comp confidence tier
The ceiling as a discount to the book value on that unit. The smaller the discount, the more often Copart wins the car. Anything within 30% of book is flagged winnable, which is the same line the New England and Dallas pages use.
Each dot is a priced unit: what the market says the car is worth across, what Copart can pay up the side. The dashed line is the winnable edge at 70% of book. Dots on or above it are cars Copart can realistically take. The gap widens to the left because the fixed $950 of fee, tow and profit eats the whole car once book drops near $1,500.
The auction's 0-to-5 scale, across all three run lists. Both anchors describe a car that drives, so anything under 2.0 is priced by a different market and gets no number here.
All three run lists, in unit counts. This is a high-mileage book, which is most of why the ceilings are small.
The ten makes carrying the most priced units, with the bidding budget behind each.
The three sales, by bidding budget. Hit rate is the share of that sale's run that survived all three gates, and winnable is how many of those sit within 30% of book. Rank a day of travel on those two together.
Sorted by ceiling, highest first. Anchor is the median of real Copart sales of the same car where there are enough of them, and book value where there are not. Book is MMR on the Manheim lanes and the ADESA retail estimate on ADESA, and Under book is how far the ceiling sits below it. Max bid is the ceiling that still clears $500. Type winnable in the box to see only the units within 30% of book. The Excel button downloads whatever the filter is showing, so filter to one site or one day first and the spreadsheet comes out already scoped to it.